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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: July 5th, 2023

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  • True if you believe strategic vote is a large proportion. I don’t. I believe the majority of voters vote based on party leaders, past preferences, etc. I don’t believe strategic vote can make up a 40% difference. I believe strategic vote shift to ONDP would mean PCs stay at 45% while OLP and ONDP get to something closer to 35% and 15%, or 30/20. The PCs still win, with higher margin. That’s my guess. For the parties to switch positions in such riding, I believe it’ll take significant campaigning by the ONDP candidate as well as Marit Stiles positioning herself as a significantly better leader than whoever heads the OLP, and clear, bold populist policies. If such a change occurs, the informed strategic vote will shift accordingly. If the polls in my riding showed 5-10% advantage for the ONDP I’d have voted for them.


  • This thinking is flawed if applied in general without any consideration of the dynamics in a particular riding. I don’t know how many people think and vote this way without checking their riding’s numbers. Perhaps many. In my riding it was the right move, as the NDP candidate got under 5%. Given how three seats were won by less than 40 votes, I think there’s some validity in informed strategic vote. But voting for OLP instead of ONDP “strategically” without checking riding numbers is very much flawed and I hope these people, along with traditional OLP voters would do something else the next time around.




  • Exactly. The 905 probably doesn’t even know where those bike lanes are, or where the border of the Greenbelt is. They go on the highway, get to downtown to their office or for a Blue Jays game, either case exit ASAP in fear of the “crazy people downtown” and get back to their house in West Mississauga, and breathe a sigh of relief. For these voters, homeless people don’t exist, bike lanes exist only to be cursed on some streets in Mississauga, but at least the streets have 2-3 lanes for them. Healthcare has always been shit and you’re not going to the hospital every day. They hear GO train is being improved. They are okay. Their material conditions are fine. No need for change and especially not during uncertainty like the one created by the US clown car.


  • Yes it wasn’t all for nothing for sure but it’s a minimal result for the organizing and voting effort. I’d prefer people to shift to the Ontario NDP instead of working even harder to get the OLP in a better position. Reason being that even if the OLP forms a government, it will likely not be sufficiently different than the PCs as to significantly improve life in the province. We remember Kathleen Wynne, we remember Dalton. Things were better but they still were underfunding healthcare, freezing public wages, sold public assets, and so on. Just less than the PCs. Don’t get me wrong I’ll take an OLP government any day over PC, but I’ll take an ONDP government over either of them. It’s why I vote strategically when the fight isn’t between ONDP/OLP in my riding. With that said I’m not sure that even the ONDP would do significant enough changes to get people stuck on them for a decade or longer.






  • Avid Amoeba@lemmy.catoWorld News@lemmy.worldWhy Putin is finally negotiating
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    2 days ago

    This only makes sense under the neoliberal assumptions that the financial side of the economy faithfully represents the real side. If they’re really doing the whole hullabaloo with the banks, dipping into funds, I guess they also believe that and are practicing neoliberal economics. If the real economy doesn’t suffer from lack of resources, and whatever they can’t make can be important from say China in exchange of oil and gas, they can go like this until they run out of something, people, oil or gas, or China stops buying those and/or selling other goods to them. I’m not rooting for the Russians to keep their war effort going but I think looking at the financial side alone has mislead us before. For example when we were promised they’re gonna buckle under the sanctions in short order.