This doesn’t work for very longterm bets, and it also wouldn’t convince everyone, since conspiracy theorists still exist. Still, I expect it to be helpful on average.
Although there’s likely still an overestimation of how much it would help
I started reading the post about wealth bias and was immediately distracted by the fact that they’re trying to call a government based on prediction markets a “futarchy” which speaks to these people being entirely the wrong kind of terminally online.
I saw those but I think it totally removes the pros, also my second complaint is that conmen would simply not join, and this will not expose them as frauds and they cant be made to join as forced betting on yourself is a crazy idea. (Also increases upfront costs for everyone more).
The article does say/link:
As for
In the footnote it does say:
Although there’s likely still an overestimation of how much it would help
I started reading the post about wealth bias and was immediately distracted by the fact that they’re trying to call a government based on prediction markets a “futarchy” which speaks to these people being entirely the wrong kind of terminally online.
Hell yeah rule by dickgirls
@YourNetworkIsHaunted @Collectivist Oh no. Oh noooooooo
@nev @YourNetworkIsHaunted @Collectivist
here’s someone who doesn’t want to be ruled by the futureari
@floppyplopper @YourNetworkIsHaunted @Collectivist i welcome our new rationalist gambler dickgirl overlords
I saw those but I think it totally removes the pros, also my second complaint is that conmen would simply not join, and this will not expose them as frauds and they cant be made to join as forced betting on yourself is a crazy idea. (Also increases upfront costs for everyone more).
It is all very much wargames.